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You know…the kelly criterion is totally applicable to retirement planning.

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merton rule right? read about it on elm site years ago iirc

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I had to google that one. So…the Merton rule also works in reverse (bad). And the slope is steeper the closer you get to “retirement”. I was thinking of it more as the sum of a series of right sized bets. A step function. A ratchet. Each bet is one of, say, 22 years remaining to retirement.

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