Correction...
Friends,
Thank you to Grant in the comments for pointing out an arithmetic error in the original post (under the Backing Into Risk Limits section)
This is correct::
💰 Backing Into Risk Limits
Let’s say you want to size your book around a Sharpe 2 strategy. Here’s one framing:
Daily P&L target: $1,000
Daily volatility: $8,000
→ Daily Sharpe = 0.125
→ Annual Sharpe = 2.0
Now annualize:
Yearly expectancy: $1,000 × 251 ≈ $251,000
Annual volatility: $8,000 × √251 ≈ $126,744
What does this imply for annual ranges?
A +1 SD year: $124,256 – $377,743
A +2 SD year: ~0 – $500k
You're brushing against zero at 2 SDs
Sorry for the sloppy editing on the first one 😔